DALLAS, TX — Tropical Depression Edouard is now inland after making landfall near Johnson Bayou, Louisiana, and its moisture is pushing toward North Texas. Forecasters say the system will weaken quickly, but the circulation will keep feeding humid air and rain chances into the region through Thursday.
For the Dallas-Fort Worth area, this is not expected to be a full tropical event. The main effects will be more clouds, higher humidity, a few isolated showers or thunderstorms, and cooler daytime temperatures where rain is more widespread.
The biggest rain chances are expected south and east of the metroplex, and most North Texas locations will stay dry through much of the evening.
What the rain timeline looks like
Forecasters say isolated showers or storms could pop up late Tuesday afternoon or early evening as moisture increases ahead of Edouard’s remnants. Coverage is expected to remain very limited at around 10%, so most places will not see rain.
By late tonight, rainfall chances should increase first across southeastern counties. Wednesday is expected to be the most active day, with showers expanding northward, especially along and east of I-45 and south of I-20.
Those areas have the best shot at beneficial rain. Farther west and northwest, including areas west of I-35 and north of I-20, rain will be much less common and temperatures will stay hotter.
Where flooding and heat remain the biggest concern
Because the atmosphere will hold deep tropical moisture, any heavier downpours or storms could produce efficient rainfall rates and dump a lot of rain in a short time. That raises the risk for localized flooding where several rounds of rain move over the same area.
The flood watch in effect for Anderson and Freestone counties runs from late Tuesday night through Wednesday evening. Officials are watching the far eastern and southeastern parts of North Texas most closely for the flooding threat.
At the same time, some locations in west and northwest North Texas may miss most of the rain and stay in the upper 90s or near 100 on Wednesday, while cloudier areas hold in the low to mid-90s.
What North Texas should expect by the weekend
Scattered showers may linger into Thursday, mainly east of I-35, but coverage should ease by Thursday evening. DFW still has a chance for isolated beneficial rain, though the metroplex is not expected to sit under the core of the heaviest moisture.
By Friday and into the weekend, Edouard’s influence should fade and North Texas is expected to return to a mostly dry pattern. As the upper-level ridge rebuilds, heat will also return quickly.
Forecasters expect highs to climb back into the upper 90s to near 100 by Saturday and Sunday, with heat index values possibly reaching around 105 this weekend into early next week. Areas that miss the rain also face continued fire-weather concerns because vegetation remains very dry.
When the weather turns dangerous, SVH Snow is watching.
